TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb37…ff74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8822.7%20 W · 68 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+649.7%+$9,099.49
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.87
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.47
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$97.86
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$940
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.58
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.89
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.31
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.66
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.75
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.85
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$698
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.75
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$63.75
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Who will finish higher: Albon or Sainz?backed Sainz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+103.7%+$49.37
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$353.33
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+426.3%+$162
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+400%+$202.71
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$19.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.25
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.65
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$1,800
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$42.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+250.8%+$37.61
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.04
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jose Henrique · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$12.4
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.98
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.75
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Ortega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+134.4%+$43
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriaultbacked Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Jacoby vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+280.9%+$74.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.