TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c16,444$11,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.2888137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes34c13,816$4,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,697.413429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c9,742$7,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.911,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes6c5,244$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes32c4,625$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes65c3,004$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No73c2,397$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.49946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c2,303$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.2670435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Yes68c2,084$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes37c1,843$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.2112736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes2c1,795$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.343342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes26c1,640$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2520832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c1,623$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6443333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4355843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes27c1,313$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.643933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes1c1,099$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.996168.9%42 W · 19 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c1,036$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4341553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c1,030$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.2134642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes38c1,010$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.86331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed Yes37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked No73c978.08$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c875.23$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0359441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Yes8c752.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.651723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c659.47$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No63c626.33$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.742373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22861447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No79c476.71$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.872142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes5c464.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.215151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes10c457.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6437753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes36c424.86$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes5c371.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.132343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No68c369.57$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2613349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes34c361.17$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4952046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes67c328.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed No69c328.38$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes4c314.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.356437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1983545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c4…c777backed Yes38c294.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83f…c0b9backed No69c289.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed Yes44c289.32$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c275$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8848947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c275$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8860648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes53c243$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8514238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c237.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8442647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed No71c229$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.414065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ce…e2eabacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No68c215.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6299435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf952…602fbacked Yes21c199.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.841612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-79.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed Yes35c185.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes38c182.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8825729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes38c171$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.983043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Yes38c165.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes36c153.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes37c149.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0210539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8780…002ebacked Yes35c146.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c131.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.363150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes17c126.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8515442.9%66 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes36c121.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.768138.3%31 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No67c121.48$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.644557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes66c105.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026144.4%116 W · 145 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed Yes24c104.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No38c101.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes34c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes33c96.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c94.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No63c81.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.589553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No62c75.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.722458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes67c75.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.726342.9%27 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed No70c74.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes43c74.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.083056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd1…a282backed Yes44c74.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No69c69.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.571758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…af40backed Yes65c64.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes37c63.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.622466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes18c63.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3716350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes38c63.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf897…7f01backed No73c60.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.276100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2a…87eebacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.74944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed No63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No72c44.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed No79c41.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82040%8 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe198…8b53backed Yes68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes27c39.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes34c38.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0422245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes36c31.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.267842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Yes36c30.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5064…12d0backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcadf…b2e3backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes65c26.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1717348%83 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes69c26.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.162055%11 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.