TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No49c5,488$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.4770435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,84010443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No72c3,027$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.25543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c2,624$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.891,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes15c2,434$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.93369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c1,699$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.5561447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes68c1,430$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.541770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+86.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes29c1,220$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.26331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c1,212$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.9343333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c1,102$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.745042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c1,070$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.3859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c1,010$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2388137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes5c982.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.452433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+114.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c969.94$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.6641553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes66c758.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No75c633.74$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.022846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.921442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No11c573.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.33948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No54c499.21$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9720832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No30c494.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.136943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No71c437.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9852046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed Yes33c390.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes20c378.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.215623.2%13 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No78c357$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.56437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c337.17$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3999435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes76c327.39$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes76c312.19$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.796267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes4c300.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.36633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+379.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes12c295.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3210840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c272.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9387531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes79c251.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.914454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No58c235.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.261040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Yes17c222.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick39cpaid+100.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+159.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No65c188.49$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.914944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c176$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7216047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+173.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No38c165$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.52520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Yes8c158.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+79.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.259440.4%38 W · 56 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes29c155.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.172528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0410539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c146.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9212348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.163125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes29c144.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.94557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Yes35c131.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No19c129.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No71c128.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.075151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No52c125.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9212039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes56c124.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes56c124.51$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1217058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes13c114$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0211952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No20c113.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.226544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes13c102.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3311645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c101.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1863150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c89.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2839443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick29cpaid+251%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes29c66.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.136248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No59c65.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.859946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.620241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked No25c56.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+154.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes34c55.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.882365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes28c55.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8514255.6%79 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes63c51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8723352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No69c50.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017365.9%114 W · 59 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes61c49.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked No33c43.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+418.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes55c30.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9912668.3%86 W · 40 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7717560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…d8a6backed No72c27.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c26.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.848947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No71c25.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021258.3%7 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick76cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c24.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.659750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c26…3ce6backed Yes53c24.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No70c21.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.836056.7%34 W · 26 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.633974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes72c20.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.742343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No67c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8114238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No73c17.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.914353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No71c15.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.012937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.