TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c12,114$5,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,420.286139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under51c9,783$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,771.12152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under62c7,293$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.1538649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c7,047$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.374,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c5,509$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.676,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over49c5,276$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60510338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Under47c4,630$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under46c4,566$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.8622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under59c4,464$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.653250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Over53c4,432$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.0170%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under46c4,302$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over54c3,628$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.081741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over54c3,394$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Under47c3,349$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under45c3,118$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.781540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c3,114$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.3674056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over47c2,836$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.9981234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over37c2,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9302245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.9927752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over45c2,478$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.844645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under46c2,312$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9135941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under46c2,220$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over53c2,151$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.071118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c2,147$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0406058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4bc6…a5bdbacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over51c1,951$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.085954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,880$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.5641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over21c1,843$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.91837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+203%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c1,752$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.457847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Under50c1,717$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under47c1,680$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.510246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.314158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c1,500$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7554151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under51c1,474$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.388116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over46c1,450$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.771643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Under47c1,387$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over48c1,363$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65011636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,289$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.41,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c1,246$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.021,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c1,202$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6377847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c1,189$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c1,122$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+118.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.98756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c1,076$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over43c1,056$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over53c1,040$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under67c1,031$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over53c1,020$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.64233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.996439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c71…66bfbacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over35c900$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31913721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Over43c885.21$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+180%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under46c873.52$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.78065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9003…fa6ebacked Under46c860.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over55c837.78$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.787444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Over53c828.03$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over53c798$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.946550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over54c760.04$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked Under47c759.57$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over53c735.08$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.596852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c721.41$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.236451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21711828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under46c681.71$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.133243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under46c650$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35116858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over54c631.46$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.996758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3188348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.994742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over29c583.46$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under55c582.67$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4569742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under47c580$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over29c567.2$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.416232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over33c565.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0413250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001850%9 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+102.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over46c545.28$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.615935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over53c515.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Over35c489.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.