TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x966c…9b1abacked Over78c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.515352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…8de8backed Over66c11,232$7,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c8,580$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.886139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c6,140$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.142,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c4,718$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c3,788$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.1176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under25c2,942$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under22c2,410$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c2,314$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.154340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c2,113$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0408953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over79c1,910$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.093080%24 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under26c1,903$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.28116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Over79c1,566$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.292373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c1,444$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.896451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over56c1,200$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c1,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Under35c1,145$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5836445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c1,082$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under22c1,040$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under22c1,015$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3735652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c877.21$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…6a56backed Under47c815.03$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over46c802.17$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.177433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37613721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c795.39$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.14,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over76c790.6$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.62281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Over78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.232948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8223632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c571.36$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c534.48$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Under50c502.64$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over51c479.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6947…d21bbacked Over66c455.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f7…b205backed Over62c434$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.678959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac8…7d97backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Over78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over51c381.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.062748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over65c355.38$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.381936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over64c347.22$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12514949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over44c340$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.46160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c336.04$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.081,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked Over61c334.04$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.821030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under22c332$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0427752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over61c330.88$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.541540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over48c329.17$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.172857.1%16 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+46.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c328.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over62c322.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under34c312$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0829250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ac…d058backed Over61c300$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over63c299.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11214463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Over61c292.36$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.61742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under22c289.44$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6322146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over48c268.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7416232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over48c259.69$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.043354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over72c257.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.130050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8a…0fd1backed Over78c253.85$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.852060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac9…b16fbacked Over78c230.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over79c227.85$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8513552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over68c219.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5511636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under38c217.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2211753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.941225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over78c192.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over79c189.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed Over79c188$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under22c182.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2111437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8228654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under38c178.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6413250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under22c150.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7133551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over69c149.79$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631656.3%9 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick75cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over74c148.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.574470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over48c135.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.412560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x677c…6b53backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c127.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over78c125.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.552356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over65c122.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over74c122.94$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over79c115.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2920651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce1e…2dbcbacked Over45c109.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1710550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under39c101.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.