TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22f7…b205

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$33.78
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$46.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Viborg FF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$396.53
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$237.14
FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Gil Vicente FC vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.98
FC København vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Olimpia Milano vs. Partizanbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.3%+$273.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$164.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$5,267.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.3%+$834.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.