Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df0b0508a2e696e0e9856c9b1806b83bbaf5ed3ad3a2d46f0171ae4316b9ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 551.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…b205backed Under | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 306.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 256.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…0142backed Under | 50c | 213.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…db7ebacked Under | 50c | 210.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…ba2cbacked Under | 50c | 209.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…f9e0backed Under | 50c | 207.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Over | 68c | 207.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…1ea4backed Under | 50c | 206.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…6f34backed Under | 50c | 204.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…cb42backed Under | 50c | 203.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…5280backed Under | 50c | 203.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed Under | 50c | 202.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 8c | 202.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under | 50c | 201.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…0cb6backed Under | 50c | 201.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979c…a93cbacked Under | 50c | 198.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…5bb4backed Under | 50c | 198.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked Under | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…5195backed Under | 50c | 195.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…e22ebacked Under | 50c | 195.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…f54fbacked Under | 50c | 195.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…71b9backed Under | 50c | 195.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…0f5bbacked Under | 50c | 195.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…9019backed Under | 50c | 195.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed Under | 50c | 194.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…6179backed Under | 50c | 194.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…15e2backed Under | 50c | 194.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…8fc1backed Under | 50c | 194.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…8af9backed Under | 50c | 194.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f25…4938backed Under | 50c | 194.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…d589backed Under | 50c | 194.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…d23dbacked Under | 50c | 194.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…834dbacked Under | 50c | 194.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe960…ea22backed Under | 50c | 194.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…af51backed Under | 50c | 194.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…1003backed Under | 50c | 193.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…d1f6backed Under | 50c | 193.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…76f2backed Under | 50c | 193.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…1676backed Under | 50c | 192.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…7007backed Under | 50c | 192.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…13f0backed Under | 50c | 191.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…ced3backed Under | 50c | 191.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…9f58backed Under | 50c | 190.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…f72ebacked Under | 50c | 189.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…14bcbacked Under | 50c | 188.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…3a8abacked Under | 50c | 187.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…40eabacked Under | 50c | 186.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9b…1e98backed Under | 50c | 184.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…7082backed Under | 50c | 183.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 183.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…6582backed Under | 50c | 183.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…abbdbacked Under | 50c | 180.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked Under | 50c | 179.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…4ba4backed Under | 50c | 176.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…06d2backed Under | 50c | 175.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 153.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 133.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 55c | 101.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 54c | 84.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 77.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 36c | 60.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 52.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 32.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 31.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.