TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe147…06d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
17
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)backed Kashiwa Reysol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$108.01
Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5)backed Tōkyō Verdy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$70.36
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$68.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.01
Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)backed Sheffield Wednesday FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$105.55
Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.7
Will David Njoku play for Los Angeles Rams in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$28.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamarkameratene vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.04
FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$86.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$61.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konrad Laimer record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$59.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.