Champions League · resolved market
Will Konrad Laimer record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2381080c8fec84f6bad8f5b8203e84792d52f9ce1fdd5cff81c02e9dfdc56a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b26…10c6backed No | 75c | 257.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…591bbacked No | 75c | 255.04$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…4f82backed No | 75c | 252.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…f72ebacked No | 56c | 246.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…1cedbacked No | 56c | 246.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…ecf2backed No | 56c | 244.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…5280backed No | 56c | 244.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…0f5bbacked No | 75c | 243.42$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b3…0592backed No | 56c | 242.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…06d2backed No | 75c | 236.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…2f5dbacked No | 75c | 234.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…3870backed No | 75c | 233.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…e3e1backed No | 75c | 223.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…2838backed No | 75c | 45.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Konrad Laimer record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Martín Zubimendi record the most cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.