TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1513…831abacked Under16c476.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5310465.4%68 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under51c364$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6419630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb479…cdcabacked Under50c214.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f3…504fbacked Under50c211.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb7…f452backed Under50c205.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b8…8031backed Under50c205.12$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b2…39dabacked Under50c203.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26a4…a4ccbacked Under48c201.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca0…8be9backed Under50c201.26$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6328…f86ebacked Under48c200.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab0…0b80backed Under50c199.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd7…934abacked Under50c198.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07c…71b9backed Under48c198.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d6…116abacked Under50c197.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0836…3057backed Under48c197.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51b…d43dbacked Under50c197.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e84…0004backed Under50c197.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d1…553dbacked Under50c196.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555a…8792backed Under48c196.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9494…110ebacked Under50c196.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd07f…8302backed Under50c196.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8626…acc2backed Under50c196.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88b…4bc6backed Under50c196.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab82…c156backed Under50c195.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff0…053cbacked Under50c195.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fb…6a96backed Under50c195.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d31…adbfbacked Under50c195.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe302…ec08backed Under48c195.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfd…72debacked Under50c195.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed Under50c195.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f58…7becbacked Under50c194.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cde…ced3backed Under50c194.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b5b…e06bbacked Under50c194.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…740dbacked Under50c194.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f20…836fbacked Under50c194.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53eb…ccecbacked Under50c194.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e4…afeabacked Under50c194.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ef…0754backed Under50c193.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a0…0579backed Under50c193.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0f…820bbacked Under50c193.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bc…40eabacked Under50c193.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaccb…5b2ebacked Under50c193.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x499a…febcbacked Under50c193.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e94…21b8backed Under50c192.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f1…3b22backed Under50c192.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x590e…b786backed Under50c192.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…60dcbacked Under50c192.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9e…74bfbacked Under50c192.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce12…e22ebacked Under50c192.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e3…5cb5backed Under48c191.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2877…cc3abacked Under50c188.71$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b6…e145backed Under48c188.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9b…1e98backed Under50c187.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4d…d3a0backed Under50c187.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc403…9198backed Under50c185.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…f54fbacked Under50c184.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f25…4938backed Under50c183.48$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f79…304fbacked Under50c182.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4a…3b8cbacked Under50c165.81$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe960…ea22backed Under48c164.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f1…d1f6backed Under50c162.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0d…1100backed Under50c162.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked Under48c161.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb7…50b4backed Under48c161.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0029…80ecbacked Under48c161.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533a…1676backed Under48c160.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x176a…37d5backed Under48c160.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…9becbacked Under48c160.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec2a…ce7fbacked Under48c159.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460d…1cedbacked Under48c159.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd2…b38bbacked Under48c159.14$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe147…06d2backed Under48c158.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdb…1d7cbacked Under48c158.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…5bb4backed Under48c158.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e9…9107backed Under48c158.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f1…0e51backed Under50c158.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc31…4c4abacked Under48c158.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8422…5907backed Under48c158.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453d…d110backed Under48c158.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f92…f99dbacked Under48c158.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c6…d9c3backed Under48c158.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b13…fc15backed Under48c158.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988a…6179backed Under48c158.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48a5…b17fbacked Under48c158.64$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ef…e9fbbacked Under48c158.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x608d…ad99backed Under50c158.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb98…be21backed Under48c158.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed Under50c158.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f60…3ab8backed Under48c157.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fa…43b6backed Under48c156.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a4d…7ca5backed Under50c156.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…bf96backed Under48c156.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44df…7855backed Under50c155.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1a0…77bdbacked Under48c155.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7b9…6782backed Under50c154.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…5195backed Under50c154.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ec…0142backed Under48c153.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8748…a5cbbacked Under48c153.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over76c137.94$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.141,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under21c104.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.