South American Leagues · resolved market
Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ffc3253d9758aa44cc79e5a9e108c84a670aa7a9b72b64ad091bf644a3d2ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 54c | 4,605$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.99 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,995$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 1,121$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.64 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 47c | 1,093$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.44 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 53c | 1,026$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 735.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 49c | 708.06$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 665.92$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.13 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 47c | 513.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 61c | 445.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 273.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 251.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 65c | 239.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 66c | 165.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 73c | 138.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 28c | 119.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 78c | 97.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 77c | 90.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 68.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 49c | 68.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 53c | 52.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 60c | 50.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 33c | 45.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 71c | 34.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 47c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.