South American Leagues · resolved market
Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db555fe4e4774e96616de3887b1c314f7af6f1c8bc9a015675e4efa98b16e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 64c | 2,503$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.17 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 1,764$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 38c | 1,250$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 678.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 13c | 634.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 621.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.29 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 15c | 549.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 70c | 500$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 309.79$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 80c | 255.64$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 45c | 254.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 241.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 57c | 232.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 75c | 199.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 187.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Over | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…793cbacked Under | 51c | 149.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 100.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 27c | 70.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 27c | 63.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 75c | 61.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 27c | 60.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 57.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 48.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 50c | 28.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.