Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881005cc4f5803afbe14edad9ed9d12e1d55d6ac740bb410ebd3ba16cad8894b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,866$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.51 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 11c | 2,644$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 16c | 1,400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 858.26$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 33c | 807.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 36c | 556.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 33c | 455.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Under | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 67c | 299.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed Under | 68c | 212.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…e8a9backed Under | 68c | 212.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…0b80backed Under | 68c | 210.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc403…9198backed Under | 68c | 209.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…97cdbacked Under | 67c | 208.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…110ebacked Under | 67c | 207.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…febcbacked Under | 67c | 207.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked Under | 67c | 206.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…8c69backed Under | 67c | 204.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…f72ebacked Under | 68c | 202.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…39dabacked Under | 68c | 202.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…2df3backed Under | 68c | 202.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…43fbbacked Under | 68c | 202.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…fe96backed Under | 68c | 202.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…65bfbacked Under | 67c | 201.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…053cbacked Under | 67c | 201.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…a5cbbacked Under | 68c | 201.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…5c16backed Under | 68c | 201.32$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…2ab4backed Under | 67c | 200.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…aac5backed Under | 68c | 200.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…f452backed Under | 67c | 200.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…5893backed Under | 67c | 200.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…3ef9backed Under | 68c | 200.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…e7eabacked Under | 68c | 199.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…d589backed Under | 68c | 199.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…1cb4backed Under | 68c | 199.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…1c30backed Under | 68c | 198.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…85e6backed Under | 67c | 198.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…3768backed Under | 67c | 197.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…d9c3backed Under | 68c | 197.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…bda4backed Under | 68c | 197.18$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…2b84backed Under | 68c | 197.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…49f2backed Under | 68c | 197.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…13f0backed Under | 67c | 196.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…f3d6backed Under | 68c | 196.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed Under | 68c | 196.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed Under | 68c | 196.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 71c | 196.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…ff81backed Under | 68c | 196.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…6655backed Under | 67c | 195.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c5e0backed Under | 68c | 195.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…1819backed Under | 67c | 195.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…fd48backed Under | 68c | 195.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…4224backed Under | 68c | 195.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…1d7cbacked Under | 68c | 195.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…10c6backed Under | 68c | 195.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…57babacked Under | 68c | 195.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…1e0cbacked Under | 68c | 195.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…f99dbacked Under | 68c | 195.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…740dbacked Under | 68c | 195.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…0cb6backed Under | 68c | 195.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…304fbacked Under | 68c | 195.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…4bc6backed Under | 68c | 195.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…872bbacked Under | 68c | 194.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…f54fbacked Under | 68c | 194.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…dee2backed Under | 68c | 194.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…a4ccbacked Under | 68c | 194.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…5b2ebacked Under | 68c | 194.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…1b12backed Under | 68c | 194.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…eb09backed Under | 68c | 193.79$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b4…3b3dbacked Under | 67c | 193.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7ca5backed Under | 68c | 193.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…e145backed Under | 68c | 193.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…5195backed Under | 68c | 193.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…ced3backed Under | 68c | 193.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d18cbacked Under | 67c | 193.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed Under | 67c | 192.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…72ccbacked Under | 68c | 192.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…2154backed Under | 68c | 192.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…afd2backed Under | 67c | 192.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…f70ebacked Under | 67c | 192.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…e3d3backed Under | 68c | 191.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…da80backed Under | 68c | 191.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…9375backed Under | 68c | 191.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…9becbacked Under | 68c | 191.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…e22ebacked Under | 68c | 191.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…4c4abacked Under | 68c | 191.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…eeeabacked Under | 68c | 190.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…c51bbacked Under | 68c | 190.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…2dfebacked Under | 68c | 190.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…6a96backed Under | 68c | 190.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…0593backed Under | 68c | 190.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0029…80ecbacked Under | 68c | 190.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…7007backed Under | 68c | 190.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…efadbacked Under | 68c | 189.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…51e3backed Under | 67c | 188.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…e0fabacked Under | 67c | 188.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under | 68c | 186.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…0deebacked Under | 67c | 186.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.