Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa361e642cb1f297075d55bf6bfd19c62e1fa5b1571c794297911d6d04a265360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 64c | 172.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 141.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 17c | 138.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 133.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked No | 48c | 104.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 80.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 73c | 80.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 77c | 67.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 75c | 51.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 24.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Yes | 72c | 23.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 75c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.