Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f3548488451739ce2588d27553c6db009169de6d57de6fbc00319ab28fbf61

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,545 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc95b…f819backed Under	48c	3,055$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,594.96	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	40c	2,712$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.38	988	44.4%439 W · 549 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	55c	2,584$1,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.97	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over	53c	1,870$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	46c	1,750$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.97	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	49c	1,661$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.47	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	48c	1,448$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over	54c	1,422$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.11	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	43c	1,242$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.77	466	44.8%209 W · 257 L	-23.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	52c	960.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.72	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over	10c	730.39$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.9	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	50c	599.88$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.88	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	54c	588.89$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Under	48c	548.35$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.14	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+136.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	36c	500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	46c	499.99$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.99	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over	49c	499.97$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.99	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	46c	449.99$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	33c	299.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under	44c	268.93$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Under	46c	249.99$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	46c	249.99$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	46c	230.93$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.7	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	46c	210$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.4	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	54c	196.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over	54c	196.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	54c	196.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over	54c	196.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over	54c	196.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	54c	193.82$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.66	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over	54c	193.82$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.66	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	54c	193.82$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.66	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over	54c	189.46$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	54c	189.46$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	54c	189.46$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	54c	186.98$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.97	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	46c	185$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over	56c	180.21$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under	45c	177.78$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.78	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.25per pick	47cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over	24c	128.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-5.5wins	-0.22per pick	34cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over	56c	121.71$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Under	47c	93.89$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+113.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	42c	79.51$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	349	37.8%132 W · 217 L	-13.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1c…ddeebacked Over	54c	71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under	46c	62.47$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.73	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	61c	62.3$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.3	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	45c	41.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.42	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe89…49e1backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over	55c	36.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac63…a2c0backed Over	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	64	60.9%39 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc3…ebc0backed Under	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+6.0wins	+0.19per pick	55cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x254c…964bbacked Under	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89f…77ebbacked Over	54c	24.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd8…f96dbacked Over	54c	24.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…69e9backed Over	54c	24.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf0…8308backed Under	46c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fde…bf2bbacked Under	46c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe855…ff61backed Under	47c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa871…0a57backed Under	46c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658c…64efbacked Under	46c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc369…d516backed Under	46c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d1…b14bbacked Over	54c	22.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…cc66backed Over	53c	22.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…4547backed Over	53c	22.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3a…ffa7backed Over	54c	22.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…7a9cbacked Over	54c	22.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…a412backed Over	54c	22.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0625…ca9bbacked Over	54c	22.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0a…1726backed Under	47c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820f…1e53backed Under	46c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf234…70c2backed Under	46c	21.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4382…3354backed Over	54c	21.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…afeabacked Over	54c	21.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fd…0962backed Over	53c	21.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb96…56d1backed Over	53c	21.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event