TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee2…c9cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jamal Musiala: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$288.25
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$534.21
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,941Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$1,435.91
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$624.38
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.15
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.7
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.35
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.4
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.45
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$866.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$896.49
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$231.89
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.5
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.08
Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.4
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.82
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$231.14
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.42
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$828.34
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$9,473.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$1,791.86
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$482.79
Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$854.76
Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.83
Kayserispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$651.56
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,153.88
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.7
Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$681.61
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,957Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$1,091.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,831Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,170.71
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,447.5
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.72
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.73
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,164.47
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,420.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.97
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.8
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$970
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,446.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.