NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1842e53bfc6f821b9cfad11b3cb70e9a7cbcbb97a2468c076301036fcc2a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 191,555$99,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,978.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 166,257$79,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,802.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 46c | 85,999$39,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,289.72 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 56c | 47,149$26,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,240.16 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 39,352$20,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,871.61 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 19,973$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,525.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 48c | 15,222$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.12 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 13,361$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 10,710$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.9 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Over | 44c | 9,167$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.84 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 7,558$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.11 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 5,562$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 4,896$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.01 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 46c | 4,302$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.9 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.85 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,713$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,623$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 2,335$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.62 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 1,702$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 48c | 1,517$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.71 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 1,301$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.61 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,224$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 1,135$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,087$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 52c | 937.39$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.85 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 47c | 887.24$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 53c | 854.45$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.59 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 45c | 853.3$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.68 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 51c | 811.29$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.53 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 54c | 788.85$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.01 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 47c | 787.31$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.72 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 752.93$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.82 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 24c | 706.51$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 608.74$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 600.12$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…02e4backed Under | 52c | 521.18$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 46c | 519.37$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 502.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 470$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 52c | 376.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 52c | 363.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 52c | 342.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 313.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 312.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 298.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 67c | 290.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 289.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 47c | 277$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 262.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 52c | 243.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 47c | 241.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 47c | 228.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 52c | 220.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 68c | 219.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Over | 53c | 216.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 53c | 215.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 48c | 214.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 52c | 209.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 52c | 207.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 52c | 196.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Over | 52c | 188.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 52c | 185.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 41c | 183.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Over | 56c | 180.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 47c | 177.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 60c | 175.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 23c | 172.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Over | 52c | 171.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 28c | 168.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 48c | 167.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 166.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 52c | 164.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 47c | 162.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 17c | 155.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 42c | 147.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 68c | 142.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 47c | 135.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 127.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Under | 52c | 124.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…430dbacked Under | 52c | 124.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 124.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 52c | 123.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Under | 52c | 123.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Under | 52c | 123.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 44c | 121.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 51c | 113.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 112.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Under | 66c | 111.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Under | 45c | 108.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked Over | 48c | 101.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5this page
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.