NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56fcbc2f0d5fb8525fcc0379a4cd7ce38e4385a58be2a8d0594c64a88d7a9a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 45c | 38,998$17,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,578.9 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 56c | 20,749$11,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,594.89 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Heat | 45c | 6,018$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.38 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards | 56c | 5,612$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.24 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wizards | 56c | 5,370$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.36 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Heat | 52c | 4,691$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.96 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards | 55c | 4,680$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.72 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 46c | 4,347$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Wizards | 55c | 4,104$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.93 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 49c | 3,725$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 49c | 3,703$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 54c | 3,386$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 53c | 3,291$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Wizards | 51c | 3,101$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.49 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 45c | 2,653$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.51 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,307$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.7 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Wizards | 57c | 2,126$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.64 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Wizards | 54c | 1,999$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.6 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Wizards | 55c | 1,975$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.32 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Heat | 45c | 1,887$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.39 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 45c | 1,856$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.01 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat | 45c | 1,840$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Heat | 59c | 1,649$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.37 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Heat | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 44c | 1,228$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 55c | 1,206$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Heat | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 49c | 1,095$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.15 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 45c | 1,069$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Wizards | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Wizards | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Wizards | 54c | 878.71$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.26 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 64c | 812.43$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Heat | 55c | 798.86$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.49 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wizards | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Wizards | 54c | 652.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Wizards | 51c | 571.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 55c | 557.59$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Heat | 53c | 550.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 53c | 550.31$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Heat | 45c | 538.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.42 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 531.65$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.51 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Wizards | 55c | 530.29$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Wizards | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 55c | 499.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.94 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Heat | 55c | 449.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Wizards | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 26c | 441.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 46c | 401.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 52c | 371.24$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Wizards | 55c | 358.54$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Wizards | 56c | 356.76$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Wizards | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Heat | 45c | 353.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 45c | 347.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Wizards | 52c | 344.6$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 57c | 337.79$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat | 62c | 314.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Wizards | 55c | 304.64$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Heat | 45c | 249.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Heat | 46c | 227.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Heat | 45c | 226.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Wizards | 57c | 216.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wizards | 50c | 215.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…65fabacked Wizards | 49c | 213.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Heat | 45c | 209.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Wizards | 52c | 205.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Heat | 45c | 197.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…89a9backed Wizards | 32c | 195.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wizards | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Heat | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Wizards | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Heat | 45c | 189.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Wizards | 55c | 186.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Wizards | 51c | 177.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Wizards | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heat | 65c | 174$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Wizards | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Heat | 63c | 167.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Heat | 49c | 155.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…1123backed Heat | 49c | 152.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Heat | 46c | 145.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Heat | 46c | 143.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Heat | 45c | 135.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Heat | 45c | 132.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Heat | 47c | 131.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Wizards | 46c | 131.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Wizards | 46c | 131.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Wizards | 46c | 131.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…430dbacked Wizards | 46c | 131.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Wizards | 46c | 130.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Heat | 45c | 125.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wizards | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Wizards | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Heat | 46c | 113.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wizards | 42c | 104.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wizards | 46c | 101.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Heat | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Heat | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Heat | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)this page
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.