NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1ed2428744354c77b6cf6fde16c0ac69f3eff3d8d49293f6196780d428eec32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 47c | 11,196$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,933.73 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wizards | 52c | 7,410$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.43 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 47c | 6,277$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.74 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 53c | 6,166$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Wizards | 53c | 5,520$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.73 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 53c | 3,441$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 53c | 2,496$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Wizards | 58c | 2,203$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.85 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Heat | 46c | 2,160$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.38 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Heat | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Heat | 47c | 1,836$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Wizards | 60c | 1,633$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.85 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Heat | 41c | 1,556$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.04 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,497$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.35 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 51c | 1,462$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.45 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 50c | 1,424$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 57c | 1,368$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.49 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 59c | 1,331$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Heat | 48c | 1,140$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.94 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Heat | 48c | 1,122$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.8 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Heat | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Wizards | 58c | 1,083$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.14 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Heat | 53c | 1,079$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.37 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Heat | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.05 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Heat | 57c | 1,050$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.36 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Heat | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Heat | 40c | 999.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…65fabacked Wizards | 53c | 916.8$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wizards | 59c | 909.27$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.47 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Wizards | 59c | 909.27$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.47 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Heat | 48c | 871.92$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Wizards | 45c | 795.51$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 51c | 765.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.57 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards | 58c | 540.67$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Wizards | 54c | 527.23$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Wizards | 58c | 525.9$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.05 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heat | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 67c | 417.23$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 46c | 415.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Wizards | 59c | 414.07$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Wizards | 57c | 395.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Wizards | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Heat | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…e04bbacked Wizards | 53c | 286.68$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…3184backed Heat | 48c | 283.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…0af8backed Heat | 42c | 236.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Heat | 47c | 217.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heat | 53c | 213.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Wizards | 54c | 212.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 53c | 199.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 45c | 199.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Wizards | 46c | 193.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Wizards | 58c | 181.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards | 42c | 180.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Heat | 44c | 173.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 44c | 171.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat | 70c | 166.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Heat | 44c | 166.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…62c1backed Wizards | 59c | 166.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Wizards | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Heat | 42c | 141.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…b075backed Wizards | 59c | 124.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Wizards | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Heat | 56c | 116.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Heat | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…1587backed Wizards | 58c | 110.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Heat | 44c | 110.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Heat | 42c | 109.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…f58ebacked Heat | 43c | 106.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Heat | 44c | 106.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Heat | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Wizards | 59c | 100.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Heat | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Wizards | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heat | 66c | 97.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heat | 45c | 92.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Heat | 42c | 83.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Heat | 43c | 83.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Heat | 45c | 80.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heat | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Wizards | 57c | 77.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Heat | 41c | 76.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Wizards | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Wizards | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Heat | 41c | 69.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 55c | 68.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Heat | 42c | 67.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Heat | 44c | 67.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…9ba6backed Wizards | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Heat | 42c | 59.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Heat | 42c | 59.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Heat | 42c | 58.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Heat | 44c | 57.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Heat | 43c | 57.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Wizards | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Wizards | 59c | 54.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Wizards | 57c | 53.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Heat | 47c | 48.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 59c | 48.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)this page
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.