NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0ac8a39e93c054eb836f63e4c9df6f883ce268bd674e6f19ee25b21ce98772

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Heat, Wizards
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,001,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,048,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,001,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Wizards	50c	515,486$257,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257,294.58	100	49%49 W · 51 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat	50c	334,067$167,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166,754.58	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94c5…56a7backed Heat	52c	163,532$85,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,495.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Heat	53c	61,048$32,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,694.86	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Heat	55c	51,513$28,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,300.44	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Wizards	49c	41,582$20,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,336.96	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Wizards	47c	40,622$19,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,073.5	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Heat	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,600	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Heat	50c	37,383$18,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,707.63	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	45c	35,151$15,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,818.17	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Heat	49c	11,805$5,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,020.65	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Wizards	50c	10,964$5,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,530.57	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Wizards	49c	10,613$5,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,229.28	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Wizards	50c	10,500$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Wizards	50c	9,700$4,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,850	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards	49c	7,085$3,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,489.54	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Heat	50c	5,709$2,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,847.48	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards	48c	5,538$2,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,659.55	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Heat	53c	5,538$2,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622.97	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	50c	5,452$2,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,721.28	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	52c	4,183$2,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,007.87	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Wizards	49c	3,540$1,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,743.93	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Heat	50c	3,257$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.63	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	47c	3,239$1,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,528.51	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Wizards	51c	2,379$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.24	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	30c	2,114$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Wizards	48c	2,016$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.59	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wizards	49c	2,004$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.8	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Heat	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	135	63%85 W · 50 L	+15.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.86	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards	46c	1,519$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.53	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Wizards	49c	1,489$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.46	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards	47c	1,458$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.97	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Heat	51c	1,045$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.9	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Heat	50c	1,019$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.74	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Wizards	47c	1,000$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Heat	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Wizards	50c	970$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Heat	59c	925.65$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.43	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Heat	54c	862.88$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.93	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards	47c	824$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.28	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Wizards	50c	809.85$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.47	125	48%60 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Wizards	50c	781.05$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.26	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Heat	53c	771.55$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.73	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Heat	52c	582.72$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.71	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Heat	50c	582$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Wizards	51c	570.94$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.18	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Heat	50c	510.95$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.03	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Heat	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Heat	53c	489.49$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.99	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Wizards	48c	484.4$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.51	157	53.5%84 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wizards	41c	476.4$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.44	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	62c	440.57$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.07	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Wizards	48c	418.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.28	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Wizards	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c3…897bbacked Wizards	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Wizards	50c	383.23$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.61	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Wizards	51c	382.53$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.09	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Wizards	51c	381.43$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.11	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Heat	52c	381$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.88	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7192…7000backed Heat	56c	364.23$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.64	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Wizards	31c	347.33$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.78	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Heat	77c	346.88$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.19	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Wizards	45c	333.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Heat	59c	330.52$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.27	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Wizards	50c	324.79$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.4	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Wizards	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat	67c	292.62$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.65	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heat	52c	285.76$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.16	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Heat	51c	260$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.4	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Wizards	48c	230$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.31	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Heat	21c	229.79$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.53	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Heat	52c	226.29$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.62	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Wizards	46c	217.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.8	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Wizards	50c	213.08$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.97	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Wizards	47c	206$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Wizards	50c	205.17$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.16	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Heat	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	463	42.5%197 W · 266 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Heat	52c	194.24$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.24	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Wizards	50c	194$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	236	50.8%120 W · 116 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc99…23f7backed Wizards	50c	194$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Wizards	51c	192.03$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.04	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Wizards	51c	190.69$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.49	250	49.6%124 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Heat	52c	177.25$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.08	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Heat	51c	175.56$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.02	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Heat	50c	164.12$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.92	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Heat	54c	155.58$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.57	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Wizards	49c	151.45$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.99	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Heat	52c	150.11$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.05	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards	18c	142.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Heat	52c	132.08$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.4	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Wizards	46c	131.62$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.94	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Heat	55c	129.21$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.67	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Heat	50c	125.27$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.64	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Heat	72c	123.33$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.84	296	65.5%194 W · 102 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Wizards	41c	122.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Heat	51c	113.83$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.59	278	54.7%152 W · 126 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…81b9backed Heat	54c	105.01$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.19	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+25%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Heat	52c	104.89$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.35	306	54.6%167 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event