NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8e3f096c17a818d7cb4e1736225f281f1ee850a5158feb8821427739a9dfd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 4,917$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 4,526$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 54c | 3,990$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 67c | 3,020$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.1 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 40c | 2,756$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.22 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 52c | 2,644$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,810$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Under | 57c | 1,470$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.68 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Under | 74c | 1,329$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.44 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,303$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.54 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 40c | 1,064$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.82 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.35 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,027$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.81 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Under | 61c | 963.75$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 59c | 943.59$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 21c | 843.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.98 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 794.68$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.55 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 781.21$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.23 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 57c | 726.66$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.08 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 41c | 677.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 660.27$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 641.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 41c | 578.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.8 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 56c | 573.44$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 514.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 439.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 412.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 382.51$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Over | 24c | 350$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 58c | 315.97$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…3dd8backed Over | 49c | 288.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…4cd0backed Over | 49c | 285.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…6438backed Over | 49c | 263.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…6e65backed Under | 52c | 262.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…6efabacked Over | 49c | 260.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c3…aaa8backed Under | 52c | 260.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 256.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 247.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 38c | 239.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Over | 43c | 208.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 203.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 198.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…2f83backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Under | 53c | 183.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 177.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 24c | 169.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Under | 61c | 161.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 24c | 159$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 136.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 73c | 135.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 16c | 133$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 132.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 42c | 130.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 57c | 120.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 115.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Under | 69c | 103.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 27c | 103$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 59c | 99.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 96.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 64c | 94.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 93.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 92.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 41c | 78.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 42c | 78.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…1143backed Under | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 58c | 66.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…a873backed Under | 63c | 62.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 63c | 61.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 51c | 61.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 60.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 44c | 55.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…6082backed Over | 43c | 51.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 46.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 39c | 45.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 42c | 41.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…d202backed Over | 38c | 41.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Over | 42c | 35.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 33c | 30.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Under | 52c | 29.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…7337backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 59c | 26.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…c2e9backed Under | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Under | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Under | 58c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…e098backed Under | 64c | 23.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5this page
- Heat vs. WizardsHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Over won
- Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-16.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-17.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-18.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-20.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-23.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.