TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6548…7337

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.47
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$81.49
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Donovan Mitchell lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.93
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.2
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.86
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.81
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.16
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.51
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$43.47
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsenbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$94.27
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)backed Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$61.67
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.9%+$309.01
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$256.75
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31.96
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$240.39
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33.82
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+142.6%+$354.43
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.61
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$105.39
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$86.89
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$185
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$64.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+83%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+265.9%+$79.77
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.