TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Newcastle United FCof Newcastle United FC, PSV
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Newcastle United FC53c12,801$6,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,010.2858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United FC52c9,630$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.851,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed PSV50c6,600$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed PSV50c4,914$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45710845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked PSV45c4,135$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.553842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Newcastle United FC53c2,609$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.2316144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Newcastle United FC51c2,525$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.183839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed PSV46c2,501$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.4620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed PSV50c2,115$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Newcastle United FC50c2,115$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed PSV50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Newcastle United FC51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed PSV50c1,961$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.397946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Newcastle United FC51c1,532$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.583727%10 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked PSV45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b0…9d9fbacked Newcastle United FC50c1,488$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked PSV49c1,146$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.7359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed PSV46c1,074$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.253357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Newcastle United FC49c1,027$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Newcastle United FC55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+281%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked PSV50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed PSV47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed PSV50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Newcastle United FC55c798$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Newcastle United FC50c713.81$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9114447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed PSV46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32221037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed PSV50c672.95$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed PSV50c650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x07f9…f5fcbacked PSV47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Newcastle United FC48c486.71$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed PSV50c456.9$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed PSV47c449.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2810648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed PSV51c410$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.12944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed PSV50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Newcastle United FC51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Newcastle United FC50c315.57$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.791442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked PSV47c303.82$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.76445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed PSV49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked PSV50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d1e…ce59backed PSV51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked PSV52c242.3$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…d023backed PSV51c217.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed PSV46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked PSV47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.115152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked PSV47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005540%22 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked PSV49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed PSV49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Newcastle United FC50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC71c197.32$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.071,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked PSV51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-69.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Newcastle United FC52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Newcastle United FC54c147.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.752250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked PSV45c128$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.64139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Newcastle United FC49c118$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1824047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed PSV47c117.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked PSV46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked PSV38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked PSV50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70b…7bccbacked PSV47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed PSV48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Newcastle United FC51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042548%12 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed PSV51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…d976backed PSV51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Newcastle United FC54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed PSV51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed PSV50c67.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9611650%58 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed PSV50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Newcastle United FC51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed PSV47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked PSV47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed PSV50c51.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.963060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9a…0793backed PSV50c50.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked PSV50c48.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.141275%9 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+87.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked PSV50c48.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.144143.9%18 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed PSV50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0d2…15afbacked PSV46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6548…7337backed PSV47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed PSV50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a94…ed73backed Newcastle United FC51c39.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked PSV46c39.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed PSV51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b47…2448backed PSV52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa906…ff14backed PSV52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Newcastle United FC56c37.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4842438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…0458backed PSV56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Newcastle United FC55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7310039%39 W · 61 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked PSV52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c47…30b6backed PSV52c31.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e0…9586backed PSV52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…118cbacked PSV52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked PSV49c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0268…6944backed PSV50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed PSV49c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb4…3d4bbacked PSV51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…ce65backed PSV51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d2b…acb8backed Newcastle United FC51c28.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed PSV50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed PSV50c27.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed PSV46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed PSV50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.