Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa864699ece9e52257265f8c6a019c866fda6401bf6039efb09a87b626b05485

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,902 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	25c	19,679$4,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,977.32	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	75c	16,216$12,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,073.69	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over	74c	10,500$7,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,730	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	75c	5,640$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400.15	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under	26c	3,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	26c	3,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over	73c	2,500$1,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	21	85.7%18 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	75cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	243	27.2%66 W · 177 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	13c	1,089$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.53	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	74c	810.81$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.81	34	82.4%28 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	26c	800$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	144	47.2%68 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	72c	708.33$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.33	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	28c	707.83$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.08	597	41.7%249 W · 348 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	29c	603.99$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.15	139	31.7%44 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under	27c	600$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	27c	600$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	26c	499.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	469	56.5%265 W · 204 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	26c	420$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	26c	420$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	74c	351.35$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	70	65.7%46 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under	26c	330$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	26c	330$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	178	55.6%99 W · 79 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under	24c	320$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	156	57.1%89 W · 67 L	+10.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	127	48%61 W · 66 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	283	57.2%162 W · 121 L	+15.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under	10c	298.19$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	74c	295$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.7	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under	26c	280$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	134	53.7%72 W · 62 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	71c	241$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.89	601	36.9%222 W · 379 L	-28.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over	71c	215$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.35	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	75c	200.08$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.02	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	187	54.5%102 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over	79c	197.86$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under	26c	190$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under	26c	180$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	71c	175$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.56	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under	26c	170$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under	26c	170$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under	26c	170$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	26c	170$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under	26c	170$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under	26c	170$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under	26c	159.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	21c	157.86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	-12.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	26c	150$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	156	51.3%80 W · 76 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	26c	150$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	142	47.2%67 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	71c	140$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.6	256	59.8%153 W · 103 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over	72c	138.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.86	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under	27c	135.89$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	264	43.9%116 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	72c	125$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.7	291	42.3%123 W · 168 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	117	47%55 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	113	50.4%57 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+30%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	27c	105$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.35	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under	29c	89.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.06	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under	26c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	74c	70.09$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.57	424	38%161 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	30c	70$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	151	53%80 W · 71 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under	26c	60$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under	29c	51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over	74c	50.2$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under	29c	50.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6471…42a1backed Under	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under	28c	49.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over	72c	47.65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over	70c	41$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.19	58	72.4%42 W · 16 L	+10.9wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+39%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked Over	73c	34.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	63cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	76c	32.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	217	44.7%97 W · 120 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…74c7backed Over	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e91…ffdfbacked Over	72c	26.81$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.51	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5this page
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event