TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd924…d06d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$175.89
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$45.09
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$88.99
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs G-Time - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$88.34
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$103.09
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$55.83
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.79
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.34
Dota 2: Execration vs Direborn - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$51.17
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+219.3%+$70.18
Dota 2: Execration vs Direborn - Game 1 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$36.86
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.48
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$31.27
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Hokori (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hokori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Dawning - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.53
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$48.71
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.76
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$87.32
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$63.92
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.88
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$116
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$50.12
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$148.15
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.27
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100.7%+$50.33
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+62.8%+$53.34
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+60.9%+$13.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Santiago Luna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.