Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab75449d57564b7c28518c945317ac55187376944f0c9b516e3c6698b08bf3b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Trace Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trace Esports | 1c | 3,734$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Trace Esports | 58c | 1,083$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.37 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Trace Esports | 48c | 569.17$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.46 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trace Esports | 45c | 518.88$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.33 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Wolves Esports | 72c | 473.4$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Wolves Esports | 74c | 325.39$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Trace Esports | 63c | 211.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Wolves Esports | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Wolves Esports | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wolves Esports | 66c | 175$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked Trace Esports | 52c | 145.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 131.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Wolves Esports | 76c | 126.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 122.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 116.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Wolves Esports | 54c | 111.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Wolves Esports | 49c | 101.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Trace Esports | 72c | 101.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 221 | 18.1%40 W · 181 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Trace Esports | 47c | 98.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 250 | 46.4%116 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…5acbbacked Trace Esports | 70c | 98.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wolves Esports | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Trace Esports | 48c | 81.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Wolves Esports | 47c | 80.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Wolves Esports | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Wolves Esports | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wolves Esports | 45c | 57.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Wolves Esports | 30c | 55.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Wolves Esports | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…418bbacked Trace Esports | 48c | 52.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Trace Esports | 77c | 52.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…c475backed Wolves Esports | 45c | 51.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…850bbacked Wolves Esports | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5e…a543backed Trace Esports | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wolves Esports | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Trace Esports | 68c | 46.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…2f88backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Trace Esports | 50c | 45.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 35.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Trace Esports | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Wolves Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…bd3cbacked Trace Esports | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Wolves Esports | 47c | 26.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Trace Esports | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…62acbacked Trace Esports | 70c | 24.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…9d2ebacked Wolves Esports | 78c | 24.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Trace Esports | 53c | 24.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed Trace Esports | 60c | 22.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Trace Esports | 70c | 22.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…f723backed Trace Esports | 54c | 21.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed Wolves Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…99d6backed Trace Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Trace Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…33b1backed Trace Esports | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trace Esports to win 0 maps?No won
- Trace Esports to win 2 maps?No won
- Trace Esports to win a map?Yes won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
- Wolves Esports to win 0 maps?No won
- Wolves Esports to win 1 maps?No won
- Wolves Esports to win a map?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.