Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44c7174c9260226101b8d51c0d7154e915e21c54722441f3affcdf617ecffcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Trace Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wolves Esports | 54c | 3,321$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.81 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Trace Esports | 50c | 2,607$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.63 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Trace Esports | 37c | 2,128$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.08 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Wolves Esports | 55c | 2,003$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trace Esports | 35c | 829.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Wolves Esports | 68c | 675.37$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Trace Esports | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wolves Esports | 73c | 485.76$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Trace Esports | 45c | 266.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Wolves Esports | 72c | 259$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Trace Esports | 52c | 176.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Wolves Esports | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Wolves Esports | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Wolves Esports | 50c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…418bbacked Trace Esports | 37c | 53.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…53d0backed Trace Esports | 26c | 52.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Trace Esports | 25c | 50.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Trace Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Wolves Esports | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolves Esports | 64c | 32.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…d269backed Wolves Esports | 75c | 27.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Wolves Esports | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trace Esports to win 0 maps?No won
- Trace Esports to win 2 maps?No won
- Trace Esports to win a map?Yes won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Wolves Esports to win 0 maps?No won
- Wolves Esports to win 1 maps?No won
- Wolves Esports to win a map?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.