Champions League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cc5979f8959379ad01dda95a633b6f8fd8134676995d515bd52caf9108473b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 42c | 2,603$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.64 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…7ed7backed Over | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 65c | 683.7$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.41 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 76c | 657.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 27c | 620.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.32 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 4c | 590$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 23c | 369.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Over | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 316.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 24c | 313.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 389 | 53.7%209 W · 180 L | +21.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 28c | 213.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 185.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 23c | 149.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 38c | 96.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 77c | 50.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 23c | 50.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 72c | 34.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Over | 31c | 32.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 38c | 29.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 277 | 50.2%139 W · 138 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 23.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.