Champions League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26336c607689c820e62ad53436969a26e711722361a1dd9cf67b015538879ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 16,155$9,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,066.96 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1576…0c24backed Over | 30c | 14,003$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 4,650$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.8 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 9c | 1,199$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.79 | 617 | 41.5%256 W · 361 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,037$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…e300backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Over | 31c | 999.24$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 51c | 946.17$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 611.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 57c | 431.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 66c | 421.39$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 35c | 419.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Under | 10c | 409.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 58c | 370.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 73c | 336.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 310$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 62c | 302.92$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…5899backed Over | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 37c | 286.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 70c | 252.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 52c | 179.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 176.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 23c | 175.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 63c | 158.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 64c | 149.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Over | 27c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 55c | 123.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 43c | 122.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 26c | 120.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 102.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 448 | 37.7%169 W · 279 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 97.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 74.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…8142backed Under | 21c | 72.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Under | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 64.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479d…66d7backed Over | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 72c | 55.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd093…4fc7backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 61c | 50.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…8cabbacked Over | 42c | 45.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 41.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 40.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 44c | 36.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 66c | 35.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 61c | 35.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 61c | 33.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 178 | 60.1%107 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Over | 45c | 24.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…5cacbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…8c83backed Over | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 63c | 16.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.