TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Páfos FCof Chelsea FC, Páfos FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Chelsea FC41c12,743$5,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,173.2858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Páfos FC49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Páfos FC47c8,600$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.992268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8283…26dabacked Chelsea FC51c6,265$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC51c3,779$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.281,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Páfos FC49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Páfos FC49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Chelsea FC52c2,999$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.715843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Chelsea FC52c2,972$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.4410845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Chelsea FC50c2,732$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3661656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Páfos FC51c2,670$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.420947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Chelsea FC50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Chelsea FC49c1,906$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.3339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Páfos FC46c1,499$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.6524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Chelsea FC29c1,476$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.145416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Chelsea FC53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6361637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Chelsea FC54c1,036$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Chelsea FC49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Páfos FC51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3910742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Páfos FC52c941.69$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Páfos FC51c887.09$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.6738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chelsea FC5c820$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Páfos FC74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.811163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Páfos FC49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Páfos FC47c699.99$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9921037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Páfos FC50c599.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Páfos FC50c599.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Páfos FC56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205040%20 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Páfos FC48c427.01$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0110648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Páfos FC49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.238356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Páfos FC49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.221354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Páfos FC49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.216753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Páfos FC49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Chelsea FC50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Páfos FC51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1964568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Chelsea FC52c359.83$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1116144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Chelsea FC53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.53935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Páfos FC49c330$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.317251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Páfos FC49c330$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.317855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Páfos FC49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Páfos FC49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15312748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Páfos FC49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Páfos FC49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15328357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Páfos FC49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15313552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Páfos FC49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Chelsea FC50c292$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Páfos FC49c280$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadcd…29e9backed Chelsea FC54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Chelsea FC48c266.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1519755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Chelsea FC51c260.64$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9213149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC38c251.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.651,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Páfos FC49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6d…f0f0backed Chelsea FC50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Páfos FC49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Páfos FC49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10218350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Páfos FC49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Chelsea FC44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Páfos FC49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10218754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Chelsea FC50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002015%3 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-69.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Chelsea FC51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Chelsea FC49c195.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Chelsea FC51c195.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6412450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Páfos FC52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Páfos FC49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.913252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Páfos FC54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.422547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed5…8384backed Chelsea FC55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Páfos FC49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.713352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.710949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.711449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.713548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Páfos FC49c170$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.713751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Páfos FC48c167.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.235448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Chelsea FC27c162.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Páfos FC49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.616251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Páfos FC49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.515651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Páfos FC49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1e…ce59backed Páfos FC52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Chelsea FC53c130.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.172250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Páfos FC47c128$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.844139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Chelsea FC49c123.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.471855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Chelsea FC53c123$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Páfos FC49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Páfos FC49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Páfos FC49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Páfos FC49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Páfos FC49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Páfos FC49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Páfos FC49c119.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Chelsea FC11c118.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Chelsea FC54c116.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Páfos FC50c108.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Páfos FC49c100.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0111750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Páfos FC49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Páfos FC49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Páfos FC51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Chelsea FC25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255225%13 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Páfos FC49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.