Champions League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711d3b3a8fc7a39419d45165c484504ea54613a077826c93e23d95a435863003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 2,927$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.86 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 53c | 2,088$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.5 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…f60fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,032$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 52c | 858$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.19 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 47c | 564.74$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.43 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67e…b0cdbacked Yes | 16c | 450.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 48c | 415.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 391.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 270.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 222.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 48c | 219.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed No | 52c | 186.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 53c | 171.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 51c | 139.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…2004backed No | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 25c | 98.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 55c | 97.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…a3e0backed No | 52c | 69.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 68.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed No | 51c | 45.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…3af4backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed No | 53c | 36.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 48c | 34.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed No | 52c | 31.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 48c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed No | 52c | 26.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.