TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c19,657$8,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,896.691,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c7,877$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,411.1438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under41c6,800$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,011.712045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Over56c5,588$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over57c2,193$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c1,999$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.0958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c1,615$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.3339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c1,243$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c1,045$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.43754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under45c1,038$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.867946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under46c999.98$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.995040%20 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c979.97$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c942.47$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.4746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under48c600$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31423947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over57c599.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over57c599.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over50c591.78$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.896852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Over58c571.03$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2457435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under44c499.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9919755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c498$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under42c471.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8610648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.238356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.221354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.216753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over56c386.39$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3824047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under44c382.89$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4213931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under50c333.33$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.674759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over56c330$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over56c330$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.817855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over56c319.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1915657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over42c306.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under46c297$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3815438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a12…d3dbbacked Over41c290.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over56c280$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under44c274.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4713149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c273.91$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14046956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1408038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under43c199.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11511750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over56c190$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.413252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.213352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.213548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.213751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.211548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over56c169.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.211449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Under50c167.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.045438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.616251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c128.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.151,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over33c122.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over56c119.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.632142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.88850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under48c73.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.483046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.213853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.613248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.615153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.158252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.