TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf591…39c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+866.8%+$2,639.78
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$510
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.94
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+619.1%+$316.85
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+722.9%+$232.82
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+400%+$64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.03
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.88
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$112.37
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96.09
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$189.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$435.32
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$247
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$240.2
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$62.3
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$218.8
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$358.69
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+90.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+525%+$63.24
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.23
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.79
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,728.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.51
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.06
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,150%+$333.66
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+900%+$758.16
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$84.25
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$296.7
Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$111.75
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.3%+$25.54
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$18.75
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+733.3%+$611.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.28
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$110.59
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.