Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27da1d4bdf65a60361942d6adcfef02f18f91ff2a83e2f722a9457d6d754306f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 23,007$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 0c | 7,299$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,842$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 2c | 3,928$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 8c | 2,011$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…92a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,647$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 14c | 1,253$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,202$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…5d99backed Yes | 10c | 518.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 10c | 498.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 393.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 14c | 358.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Yes | 14c | 312.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 13c | 286.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 14c | 248.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 11c | 209.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 10c | 199.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 15c | 199.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 15c | 199.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 15c | 192.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…2c78backed Yes | 10c | 180.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…1497backed Yes | 11c | 172.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 165.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 7c | 153.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 13c | 151.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…dfd9backed Yes | 11c | 135.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 15c | 132.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…4dcfbacked Yes | 14c | 107.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 11c | 104.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 14c | 99.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 16c | 98.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.