Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18cbc534bcf77323583e8a57e62b6a74f81a076d59c427cd612288515a5dd11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,110 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8379…ed71backed Yes | 73c | 69,517$50,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,769.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 28c | 37,181$10,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,452.47 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 30c | 22,830$6,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,877.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 27c | 18,700$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.11 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 18,457$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.09 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 12c | 17,557$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.24 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 27c | 13,880$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 7c | 12,468$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.51 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 27c | 10,050$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.55 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 30c | 9,962$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 55c | 8,952$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.52 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 27c | 8,850$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 8,508$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 36c | 8,274$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 71c | 7,490$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 78c | 6,378$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.99 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 71c | 5,679$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.34 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 5,419$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.5 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 29c | 4,670$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 2c | 4,448$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 72c | 4,249$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 42c | 3,966$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 3,922$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 3,374$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.42 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 35c | 3,118$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 32c | 2,927$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 27c | 2,777$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.79 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 2,398$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.33 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 70c | 2,127$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 29c | 1,986$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.82 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 72c | 1,931$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 5c | 1,802$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 1,742$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 71c | 1,624$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 71c | 1,623$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.54 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,587$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.18 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,418$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 66c | 1,323$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 24c | 1,246$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.08 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 7c | 1,208$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 61c | 1,190$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 27c | 1,148$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.05 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…e8e8backed No | 26c | 1,129$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 55c | 1,116$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 28c | 1,100$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 3c | 1,055$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 70c | 1,049$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 30c | 999.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 29c | 997.76$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 71c | 996.43$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 29c | 996.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked No | 17c | 951.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 29c | 904.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 28c | 874.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 41c | 843.79$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.74 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 28c | 828.12$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 14c | 790.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 765.42$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 7c | 763.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 13c | 761.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 28c | 725.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 71c | 708.58$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 29c | 702.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.81 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 699.35$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 71c | 698.93$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Yes | 73c | 693.81$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes | 72c | 689.54$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 72c | 661.3$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes | 55c | 653.47$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 8c | 638.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 72c | 623.35$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 56c | 531.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 71c | 507.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 57c | 495.82$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.02 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Yes | 72c | 474.41$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 72c | 455.1$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 11c | 439.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 72c | 435.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 429.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 54c | 426.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 70c | 425.42$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 72c | 413.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 72c | 413.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 72c | 410$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 63c | 372.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 72c | 347.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 56c | 346.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 29c | 342.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…943abacked Yes | 73c | 336.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 60c | 330.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Yes | 61c | 326.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Yes | 73c | 326.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 60c | 308.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 303.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.