TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd95d…0947

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$7.68
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$22.29
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$13.7
DEL: Straubing Tigers vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Straubing Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$11.8
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$7.27
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$25.67
Maple Leafs vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.74
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.74
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$24.32
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+57%+$6.28
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$11.59
AHL: Ontario Reign vs. Tucson Roadrunnersbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.74
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Belleville Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.88
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscowbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.27
KHL: Torpedo vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.23
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+280%+$168.02
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+130.4%+$842.05
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31%+$5.36
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.7%+$110.75
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$15.96
Will Panama win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Russia vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$54.09
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$17.19
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$7.52
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.27
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.29
Will Israel win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.09
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.98
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+97.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+98.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.22
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+126%+$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.