NHL · resolved market
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4bbcfff732b82dd0fa54e2e8528db6d1447fefb18ffd32314509020fed173d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avangard Omsk | 65c | 595.45$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 37c | 567.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 57c | 515.3$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Avangard Omsk | 63c | 401$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Avangard Omsk | 39c | 278$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 35c | 275.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 38c | 228.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 225.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 36c | 211.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avangard Omsk | 63c | 152.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 48c | 142.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 37c | 134.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Avangard Omsk | 72c | 125.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Avangard Omsk | 64c | 122.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 35c | 119.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Avangard Omsk | 43c | 116.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 57c | 102.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Avangard Omsk | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Avangard Omsk | 26c | 96.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 45c | 95.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avangard Omsk | 59c | 92.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…6ddfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 89.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Avangard Omsk | 67c | 88.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avangard Omsk | 62c | 88.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Avangard Omsk | 66c | 70.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Avangard Omsk | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Avangard Omsk | 24c | 67.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 63.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Avangard Omsk | 62c | 54.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 35c | 35.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 59c | 35.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 53c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 46c | 31.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Avangard Omsk | 63c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Avangard Omsk | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 52c | 27.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked Avangard Omsk | 65c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 52c | 23.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Avangard Omsk | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Avangard Omsk | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Avangard Omsk | 67c | 19.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avangard Omsk | 67c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.