NHL · resolved market
KHL: Torpedo vs. Severstal Cherepovets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9022a51693527dbd20f17e3c69515282455328d3b76f7a0dd4ca75a895b88bb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torpedoof Torpedo, Severstal Cherepovets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Torpedo | 50c | 906.7$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 648.35$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Severstal Cherepovets | 36c | 554.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Torpedo | 66c | 536.73$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 42c | 521.06$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…dfbebacked Torpedo | 57c | 351.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Severstal Cherepovets | 18c | 328.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Torpedo | 68c | 322.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Torpedo | 77c | 286.37$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 263.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Torpedo | 65c | 208$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Severstal Cherepovets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Torpedo | 50c | 177.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Torpedo | 66c | 158$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Torpedo | 50c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Severstal Cherepovets | 47c | 107.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Torpedo | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Severstal Cherepovets | 15c | 99.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Torpedo | 68c | 57.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Torpedo | 59c | 42.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Torpedo | 76c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Torpedo | 71c | 34.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Torpedo | 73c | 31.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…9335backed Torpedo | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Severstal Cherepovets | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Torpedo | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Severstal Cherepovets | 46c | 26.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Torpedo | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Severstal Cherepovets | 51c | 23.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Torpedo | 63c | 22.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Severstal Cherepovets | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Severstal Cherepovets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.