TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c67,786$33,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,277.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over51c61,427$31,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,09987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Under53c47,717$25,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,188.754951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under51c30,000$15,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,301.0229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over47c24,452$11,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,861.6638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over51c14,840$7,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,288.1350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c14,521$6,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,659.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c14,178$6,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,883.4924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9918747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c9,721$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.681,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c7,039$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c6,718$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…7eb4backed Under49c6,300$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x713d…cf77backed Under49c6,224$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Over46c6,000$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.9910743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under54c5,578$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over51c5,020$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.424050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c4,398$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.592,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under49c4,147$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.0322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c3,413$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1272…8503backed Over51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…024fbacked Over51c3,100$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c3,037$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea9…2cb0backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4702100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c2,943$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c2,747$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.511,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c2,716$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.7770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf37b…261fbacked Over51c2,600$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2742100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under51c2,380$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.8815849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over52c2,254$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.8517344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under54c1,860$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over49c1,327$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.5364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,233$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c1,038$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.532,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over50c534$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.348450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c522.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over50c512.96$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4818650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7746346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1618147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over50c388.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c386.21$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.332,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over51c340$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c333.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over49c332.66$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.823,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c299.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c234.29$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab9…4fe5backed Over51c224.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd800…182bbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c197.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Under52c187.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7527059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a32…2fcdbacked Under51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c144.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over44c142.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over50c134.36$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1821748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under35c129.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b61…78e8backed Over80c109.1$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.822437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0424042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c100.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9913115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under52c89.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.533663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over48c89.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3217035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c83.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.091,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c82.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.385,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under27c76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under51c71.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5548852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c65.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.151,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under50c65.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.776746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c61.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Under52c58.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…aecbbacked Under53c56.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Over51c54.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…875bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c46.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.881,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c41.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c5…e55dbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over50c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6112841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce5d…5081backed Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.284050%20 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb452…30ffbacked Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over49c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8623350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…0947backed Over52c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.