TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89c5…e55d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.94
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.7
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+59%+$11.8
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.73
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$23.14
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.