TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,496 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over48c127,000$60,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,369.9839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under52c82,509$42,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,904.6722049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c20,405$10,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,680.083,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c18,336$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9523145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c2,389$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.6814934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdd1…77f2backed Under52c2,090$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over63c1,133$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.214,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under54c1,110$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.46243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Under53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over65c778.77$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.861,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c701.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.852,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over48c636$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5817644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over48c602.18$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Under53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.139851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Over31c517.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3517857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c456.28$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8331735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b85…f739backed Under53c384.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under69c355.28$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.145349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under69c323.56$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22268753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Under24c263.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under52c253.17$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.651060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c250.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.13,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3325352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10619935.7%71 W · 128 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under53c199.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Under52c190.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6145…3e2bbacked Under50c179.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.851741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under7c176.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.855034%17 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe768…b4f2backed Over47c167$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under26c165.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.261,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…ed89backed Over47c151.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Over48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over37c136.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.929339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Under53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Under54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Over48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under50c106.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4722045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3713…18bfbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1733153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under53c91.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.711957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…284abacked Under53c81.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under52c81.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1816444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Over66c79.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0544743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under53c77.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0438844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8c…9f1fbacked Under53c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Over46c75.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c70.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.471,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c62.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.827556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over49c61.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.828444%37 W · 47 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Under54c60.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.428856.6%163 W · 125 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762d…872abacked Under69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b9…b318backed Under53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5765…92f9backed Under53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Over48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.921,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8891…6eedbacked Over48c45.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ec…0fb3backed Under53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e3…13d4backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over48c41.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4516047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x894d…cdb0backed Under53c40.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe594…e756backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd20…d9eabacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c5…e55dbacked Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Under54c33.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba8…4defbacked Under53c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…a8e1backed Under66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7683…b6c7backed Under53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d8…f8a5backed Under54c27.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-66.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Under69c27.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.042245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b8…0d55backed Over48c26.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0f…a189backed Under53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Over48c21.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Under54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over71c20.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9819653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b15…569ebacked Over49c20.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed Under65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138159.3%48 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7251…e6b3backed Under67c18.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over70c16.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9531440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1706…b852backed Over64c15.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.