TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6145…3e2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT4528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.97
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+103.3%+$33.26
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$34.44
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+85.1%+$41.31
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+172.9%+$54.69
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.66
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$97.99
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$107.67
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$30.75
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185%+$82.62
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+267%+$187.35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$41.84
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$67.66
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$363.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.98
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.13
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$186.66
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+148.3%+$58.28
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.23
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.9%+$548.73
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+200.6%+$119.53
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+154.8%+$45.49
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89%+$26.71
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$48.08
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+74.6%+$23.11
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40.06
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+164.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+145.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+166.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: James Madison Dukes (-5.5)backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.27
Chicago State Cougars vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+77.8%+$11.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+373%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+845.9%+$2,089.78
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$13.56
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$259.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+139.7%+$20.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$662.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$294.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.