NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62557971fb493ad7ac34ce53fa7b23cc344de18a38de012b022f0258b35ba8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 53c | 32,088$16,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,968 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 19,000$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 9,806$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 9,653$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.65 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 8,943$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 52c | 8,859$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…6185backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 5,911$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 52c | 5,532$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.24 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 4,687$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.76 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 4,590$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.84 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 50c | 2,926$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.05 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.61 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 2,209$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.19 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 1,877$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,875$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 51c | 1,862$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.15 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,659$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 1,033$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.39 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 860.01$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 3c | 773.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 4c | 690.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 678$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 534.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 45c | 220.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 171.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 164.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 52.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…70ccbacked Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…aaefbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 39.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…5116backed Over | 51c | 33.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 33.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 48c | 31.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 48c | 31.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Over | 52c | 27.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…3e2bbacked Under | 53c | 27.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. BucksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.