NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd88ead9b785b9cdf11170dd429975cfa1adfb649fcfbeafdbc06c05bea70fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 9,017$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.17 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 8,729$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.68 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 46c | 1,524$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.8 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 1,357$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.78 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 975.62$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 53c | 868$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.14 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 557.29$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 382.62$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 4c | 326$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 322$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 241.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 199.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 152.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 146.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 123.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 108.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 108.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 54c | 93.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 55c | 90.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 54c | 70.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 31.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…d40bbacked Under | 54c | 20.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…cdccbacked Under | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…6bf0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. BucksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.