TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over44c7,268$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Over48c6,713$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.1446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under51c6,355$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.256654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Over50c4,033$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.2211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under58c2,688$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.2251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c2,295$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.31,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c1,933$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Over53c1,892$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.5921142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over46c1,094$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.3115450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over51c990$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c845.68$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.863,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under59c667$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.811,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c611.08$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c589.25$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7392753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c516.62$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.852,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f73…7465backed Over50c490$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x656b…140fbacked Under49c490$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2b…1eb6backed Over50c486$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb8…ae8dbacked Over49c482$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2653…1d48backed Under50c476$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fdd…133ebacked Over50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451a…bb7abacked Under49c474$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021e…fc34backed Under50c474$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b81…c213backed Over50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d7…0ae5backed Under50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…38f4backed Under50c470$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb2…b776backed Under50c468$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb54a…f62dbacked Over51c465$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b8d…be37backed Over50c464$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b97…5648backed Over50c458$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0141…70febacked Over51c458$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c24…a5bbbacked Under50c454$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3afc…6444backed Under50c442$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7c…c5f1backed Over50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…c48abacked Over50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc66…ef1ebacked Under50c438$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4821…cbbdbacked Under50c438$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de7…f02cbacked Over50c438$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x627c…aa80backed Under50c426$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5088…89f4backed Under51c421$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd58…28b7backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf254…5bdcbacked Over50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c415.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d6…9fecbacked Under50c414$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a29…6bd8backed Over50c414$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x717a…2b87backed Under50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb0…829fbacked Under50c410$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe547…8a76backed Over50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d55…6b62backed Over50c406$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…6cc7backed Over50c402$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c401.05$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c38…3f1abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfee…ca90backed Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63d…ce7abacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…56d9backed Over51c396$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa256…be6bbacked Under50c392$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7144…d92fbacked Over50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd999…998fbacked Under49c386$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…481cbacked Under50c384$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d6…68e3backed Over49c383$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d35…600abacked Over50c380$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abb…859dbacked Under51c377$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb35b…6aeebacked Over50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2ac…3bf9backed Under50c366$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18b…fdbebacked Over50c364$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb648…b74bbacked Under50c362$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb080…c5b3backed Under50c362$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6252…b7efbacked Over51c361$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cb…ece9backed Over50c356$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b2…3788backed Under50c355$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…7e40backed Under50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9374…f843backed Over50c348$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc639…1a13backed Over51c340$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba00…eadabacked Over50c339$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0085…5e27backed Over50c338$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe965…fad7backed Over49c336$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad26…5ae3backed Over50c332$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c329.63$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87f…0891backed Under49c324$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ef…0becbacked Under50c322$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff15…2447backed Over51c316$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9486…01bcbacked Over50c308$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…ccf7backed Under55c303.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.192846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76d…d7dabacked Under51c298$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff0…1fbabacked Under50c298$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over43c283.36$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd44…1fdcbacked Under49c262$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc891…fc7cbacked Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497f…8086backed Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over42c238.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Over47c236.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2540035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under46c207.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc1…939cbacked Under50c207.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c206.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c192.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.451,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over71c191.96$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6713951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.