TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Bucks46c27,592$12,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,692.1472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Knicks54c26,725$14,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,293.529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks54c15,434$8,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.661,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bucks46c15,267$7,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,022.9327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks46c13,924$6,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,402.587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks54c8,743$4,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.532,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…c83dbacked Knicks55c6,545$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa502…4625backed Bucks45c3,200$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Knicks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9648054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d57…9b20backed Bucks45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks54c2,524$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdb…62cbbacked Knicks54c2,444$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks46c1,910$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks53c1,733$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.1851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks54c1,337$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks53c1,209$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Bucks56c804.23$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bucks12c776.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Bucks47c699.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9921045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Bucks47c632.01$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0419434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks47c621.17$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.951,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Bucks46c599.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks44c599.35$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5634854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e74…7800backed Bucks45c545.44$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Bucks46c532.61$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Knicks56c476.79$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7947651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…cbe4backed Bucks49c462$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f62…64cabacked Knicks51c462$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7def…a19abacked Bucks49c452$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…472bbacked Bucks49c452$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…f224backed Knicks51c451$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96c…552abacked Knicks51c449$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb64d…5211backed Knicks51c442$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c1…d3c8backed Bucks49c436$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cc…3ed2backed Bucks49c432$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa419…a29bbacked Bucks49c414$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…46edbacked Knicks51c402$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309c…c79dbacked Knicks51c401$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks55c400.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a7c…20c1backed Bucks49c388$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd294…ba43backed Knicks51c388$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5417…6e4dbacked Bucks49c382$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…2615backed Knicks51c371$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…b5e5backed Bucks49c360$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d9…e14ebacked Bucks49c356$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks59c355.92$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…f827backed Bucks49c354$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d58…875ebacked Knicks51c353$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e8…b1f3backed Knicks51c353$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e4…d34cbacked Bucks49c346$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b0…381fbacked Bucks49c341$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…b172backed Knicks51c332$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b1…c2efbacked Knicks51c332$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a1…8316backed Knicks51c331$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf008…bfb5backed Knicks51c321$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe555…4171backed Bucks49c318$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…ccf7backed Knicks55c303.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.82846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…eb5cbacked Knicks51c296$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Bucks48c290.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks54c278.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.951,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks52c276.02$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Knicks75c256$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6427357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98c…5c03backed Bucks49c241$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Bucks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Knicks53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Bucks47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Bucks48c148.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Knicks54c139.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Knicks77c128.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.677650%38 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Bucks47c115.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.149040%36 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks35c113.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks24c112.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Bucks45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Bucks46c107.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6e…919bbacked Bucks47c106.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Bucks47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks47c100.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.262,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Bucks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4637750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Knicks54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5750653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.541,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Knicks53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3411851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Bucks48c92.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.626058.3%35 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Knicks54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.597152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks54c92.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e7…53e1backed Bucks46c85.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Knicks52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9227462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks54c74.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks23c70.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Bucks46c65.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014728.6%42 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Bucks46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Knicks54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5651651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…fe55backed Bucks47c53.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks76c52.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Bucks45c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Knicks53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d7…ae2dbacked Knicks51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.