NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1838ed1308962b5ff4bb4fd55bda886b9154a3390a22fdae5224a6d7ba1eacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 32,224$16,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,825.78 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 12,314$5,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.52 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 55c | 5,415$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 4,687$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 3,751$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 48c | 2,926$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.52 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 2,251$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.96 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,802$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 1,085$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 877.04$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 755$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.15 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 642.89$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 429$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.37 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 42c | 337.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 295$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Over | 48c | 206.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 46c | 203.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 123.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 115.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 44c | 52.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 47c | 47.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Over | 49c | 44.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 47c | 42.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…072cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 168 | 62.5%105 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…a2adbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…e67ebacked Over | 48c | 37.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 29.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 68c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. BucksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.