NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c39d99741071eaa1b87095a545e4d942d55dbe5292e2081eaff082d53ece5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 52c | 7,623$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.23 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…2d0fbacked Over | 48c | 3,829$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,133$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Under | 54c | 1,859$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 46c | 1,090$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.24 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.13 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 798.34$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 752.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 666.47$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…39a0backed Over | 50c | 498$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…b021backed Over | 50c | 488$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…ed1cbacked Over | 47c | 455$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b10…2c53backed Under | 53c | 448$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…5366backed Over | 47c | 436$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…5aa1backed Under | 50c | 428$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…07abbacked Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad49…0b84backed Under | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…7107backed Over | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…24cfbacked Over | 47c | 387$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…8f29backed Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…5c08backed Under | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb5…2c79backed Over | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…9601backed Over | 47c | 368$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…b1e7backed Under | 50c | 332$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb536…c148backed Over | 50c | 326$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…f032backed Under | 53c | 321$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…95a7backed Over | 50c | 312$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6893…a5cdbacked Under | 53c | 312$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…a7e5backed Under | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b8bbbacked Under | 53c | 304$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…b2c2backed Over | 47c | 302$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 45c | 182.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21d…7cb0backed Under | 52c | 168$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c701backed Under | 53c | 143$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 123.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 123.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 41c | 121.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 118.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 51c | 115.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 100.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 47c | 100.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 44c | 89.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Under | 59c | 73.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 59c | 44.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 58c | 41.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Over | 47c | 38.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 43c | 36.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 33.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 32.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Over | 45c | 31.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Under | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 42c | 23.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…be81backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. BucksKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.