TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,498,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,539,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,498,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,032 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bucks28c569,097$158,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158,226.7243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks27c357,787$97,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,603.3851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks26c165,746$42,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,972.1487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Knicks72c140,556$101,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,72230845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks74c140,244$103,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,463.531,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks72c130,000$93,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,40043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Knicks72c105,840$76,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,635.22548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Bucks27c96,000$25,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,9201942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks78c95,264$73,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,362.812,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks73c77,408$56,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,556.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Bucks19c73,029$14,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,121.755959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Knicks72c57,824$41,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,190.6311653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Bucks27c56,000$15,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,119.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks73c53,136$38,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,446.2451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks73c52,294$38,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,119.41,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Knicks72c52,115$37,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,592.075658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Knicks73c48,000$34,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0801643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks73c44,880$32,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,117.659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Knicks73c41,757$30,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,206.7634456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Knicks73c40,036$29,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,809.7812547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks28c40,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,100.011,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks28c40,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,20048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bucks26c33,798$8,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,787.4727747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks72c32,173$23,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,008.4431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks73c30,912$22,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,346.342,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks14c24,595$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3604,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks3c23,164$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.791,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks78c21,771$16,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Knicks72c21,479$15,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.2624942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Knicks72c20,780$14,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,818.414663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks27c19,999$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.8435450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Knicks74c19,998$14,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.4841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks0c19,847$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.933179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks9c17,675$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks6c16,805$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Knicks74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9002050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Knicks73c15,000$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,05023257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Bucks27c14,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Knicks73c14,000$10,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.978052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks73c13,000$9,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.9187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Knicks72c12,786$9,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.1236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe593…cc7dbacked Knicks72c12,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks73c12,000$8,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks73c11,612$8,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.2448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Knicks73c11,146$8,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.6623052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Knicks72c11,000$7,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.272650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bucks26c11,000$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8608441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Knicks73c11,000$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9701752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Knicks74c11,000$8,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.965444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Bucks27c10,789$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9134951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Bucks1c10,179$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks28c9,113$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7792…e163backed Bucks29c8,716$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Bucks28c8,200$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2968640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Knicks72c8,200$5,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.989054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks72c8,021$5,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks3c8,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Bucks28c7,777$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.567943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Bucks26c7,731$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks73c7,583$5,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.2728649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Bucks1c7,394$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks7c7,140$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.21,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks28c7,100$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Bucks4c7,042$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3119033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Knicks72c6,842$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.765251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Knicks71c6,573$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.2736741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b3…911fbacked Knicks74c6,537$4,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.54875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad6b…c15fbacked Knicks74c6,429$4,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.431675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks3c6,237$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d72…8f96backed Knicks73c6,234$4,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Knicks73c6,107$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.9241954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Knicks72c5,805$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.4324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Knicks72c5,781$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.686657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Knicks72c5,467$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.8548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked Knicks73c5,391$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.473946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Knicks72c5,294$3,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.445052%26 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Bucks3c5,033$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9229352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Bucks28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Knicks74c4,928$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.263171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42ef…9198backed Knicks72c4,800$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks73c4,781$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Bucks27c4,769$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.548938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Knicks72c4,752$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.563450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Knicks72c4,289$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Knicks72c4,252$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.4658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks73c4,194$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bucks28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks27c3,900$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.9961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c3,850$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Knicks73c3,847$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.5832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Knicks72c3,804$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.0616370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Knicks73c3,718$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.89855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Knicks73c3,690$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.317653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Knicks73c3,664$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.386040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked Knicks72c3,611$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.112245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d8…1accbacked Bucks27c3,519$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.