TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x300b…e032

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT19045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$160.12
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$209.91
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$194
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.01
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.03
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.01
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.02
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+91.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$355.56
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$514.29
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$117.52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+83.7%+$33.48
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+57.4%+$22.97
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.4%+$26.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.45
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.